How much revenue did Moon Watch make?

$5k–$14k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Moon Watch sell?

Q: How many copies did Moon Watch sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 77 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before the cut; from 77 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Moon Watch out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Moon Watch's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 67k–581k

best case 1.3M (暖雪 Warm Snow)

Games like Moon Watch

The middle of these games

≈ 67k–581k copies

≈ $130k–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 暖雪 Warm Snow at ≈ 968k–1.6M copies, ≈ $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 728 to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $18.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Infinite Tao 2023	Est. copies ≈ 22k–36k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$99k before the cut	$3.99	883 reviews Mostly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Slime 3K: Rise Against Despot 2024	Est. copies ≈ 42k–69k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $58k–$157k after Steam's cut $106k–$241k before the cut	$4.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Bullet HellAction Roguelike
暖雪 Warm Snow 2022	Est. copies ≈ 968k–1.6M 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before the cut	$17.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Nomad Survival 2022	Est. copies ≈ 54k–88k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $74k–$200k after Steam's cut $135k–$308k before the cut	$4.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Hand of Fate 2 2017	Est. copies ≈ 200k–325k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before the cut	$29.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RPGRoguelike Deckbuilder
Magicraft 2024	Est. copies ≈ 416k–676k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before the cut	$15.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
One Step From Eden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 190k–309k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeDifficult
Hand of Fate 2015	Est. copies ≈ 521k–847k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before the cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Rogue-like