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How many copies did [DE:]Fanastasis sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before the cut
from 178 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left [DE:]Fanastasis out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including [DE:]Fanastasis's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–307k
best case 4.5M (S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl)
Games like [DE:]Fanastasis

The middle of these games

≈ 24k–307k copies

≈ $189k–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $56.2M–$151.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 554 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 168 to 88k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Post-apocalyptic (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + FPS, priced around $60.
The era
Only 3 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
80x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$56.2M–$151.0M after Steam's cut $102.1M–$232.3M before the cut
$59.99
137k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldFPS
METAL MAX Xeno Reborn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$126k–$339k after Steam's cut $229k–$521k before the cut
$39.99
462 reviews
Mixed
DogJRPG
AI Dungeon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
805 reviews
Mixed
Multiple EndingsNonlinear
Chernobylite Complete Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 386k–627k
9.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut
$29.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticSurvival
Paradise Lost
2021
Est. copies
≈ 62k–101k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$256k–$689k after Steam's cut $466k–$1.1M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Mixed
UndergroundWalking Simulator
Turbo Kid
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$79k–$211k after Steam's cut $143k–$325k before the cut
$19.99
577 reviews
Very Positive
GoreAction
HighFleet
2021
Est. copies
≈ 184k–299k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before the cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerIndie
Nocturnals
2024
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$51k–$137k after Steam's cut $93k–$211k before the cut
$7.99
937 reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterPost-apocalyptic

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.