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How many copies did Rebel Galaxy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 409k–665k
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before the cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rebel Galaxy out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rebel Galaxy's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 606k–6.0M
best case 22.6M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Rebel Galaxy

The middle of these games

≈ 606k–6.0M copies

≈ $11.0M–$95.8M after Steam's cut

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.2M–28.0M copies, ≈ $284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (8 of 8) and Sci-fi (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
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SpaceRPG

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