Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did The Fall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 208k–338k
$571k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Fall out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Fall's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–18.1M
best case 38.6M (Portal 2)
Games like The Fall

The middle of these games

≈ 3.2M–18.1M copies

≈ $34.9M–$82.8M after Steam's cut

from ~80k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.4M–47.8M copies, ≈ $80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (7 of 8) and First-Person (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2004 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut $33.1M–$75.3M before the cut
$24.99
107k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Half-Life 2
2004
Est. copies
≈ 17.6M–28.6M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$48.3M–$130.0M after Steam's cut $87.9M–$200.0M before the cut
$9.99
278k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.4M–47.8M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut $147.0M–$334.4M before the cut
$9.99
466k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Half-Life 2: Episode One
2006
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.7M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.3M before the cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Half-Life 2: Episode Two
2007
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.0M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.1M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.