Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Hard Time III sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–39k
$98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$405k before the cut
from 957 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hard Time III out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hard Time III's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 170k–812k
best case 2.4M (UNO)
Games like Hard Time III

The middle of these games

≈ 170k–812k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Story Rich (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (3 of 8) and Character Customization (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–869k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before the cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
Digger Online
2015
Est. copies
≈ 870k–1.4M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before the cut
$7.99
18k reviews
Mixed
Story RichAction
Batla
2015
Est. copies
≈ 149k–242k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayFPS
Cartel Tycoon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 94k–153k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$778k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
Top-DownRTS
Disney•Pixar Cars
2015
Est. copies
≈ 141k–230k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$777k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RacingStory Rich
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience
2020
Est. copies
≈ 71k–115k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$388k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $705k–$1.6M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureTime Management
Primal Carnage: Extinction
2015
Est. copies
≈ 483k–785k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before the cut
$12.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursMultiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.