How much revenue did The Guild 3 make?

$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Guild 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did The Guild 3 sell?

198k to 322k copies, based on its 8k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 198k–322k; $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before the cut; from 8k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Guild 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Guild 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 32k–125k

best case 4.7M (Crusader Kings III)

Games like The Guild 3

The middle of these games

≈ 32k–125k copies

≈ $164k–$707k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Crusader Kings III at ≈ 3.5M–5.8M copies, ≈ $48.8M–$131.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 80 to 22k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Simulation (7 of 8) and Medieval (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Medieval + Grand Strategy, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Character Customization + Grand Strategy + Historical; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: 4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Crusader Kings III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.8M 125x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $48.8M–$131.2M after Steam's cut $88.7M–$201.9M before the cut	$49.99	143k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMedieval
Old Market Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 132k–215k 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $363k–$976k after Steam's cut $660k–$1.5M before the cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	SimulationOnline Co-Op
The Guild II Renaissance 2010	Est. copies ≈ 265k–431k 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $729k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	SimulationStrategy
The Guild II 2010	Est. copies ≈ 53k–87k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $147k–$394k after Steam's cut $266k–$606k before the cut	$9.99	844 reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationStrategy
Mirthwood 2024	Est. copies ≈ 59k–96k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $404k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $735k–$1.7M before the cut	$24.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGSandbox
Monarch : Medieval Remastered 2025	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$129k before the cut	$11.99	382 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessStrategy
SAELIG 2017	Est. copies ≈ 39k–64k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $163k–$437k after Steam's cut $296k–$673k before the cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SimulationRPG
Alchemist Shop Simulator 2025	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before the cut	$11.99	162 reviews Very Positive	CasualSimulation