How much revenue did The Magic Circle make?

$402k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Magic Circle sell?

Q: How many copies did The Magic Circle sell?

73k to 119k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 73k–119k; $402k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $732k–$1.7M before the cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Magic Circle out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Magic Circle's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 737k–1.3M

best case 6.7M (Papers, Please)

Games like The Magic Circle

The middle of these games

≈ 737k–1.3M copies

≈ $3.9M–$14.1M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Papers, Please at ≈ 5.1M–8.3M copies, ≈ $13.9M–$37.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 724 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Puzzle (7 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Political + Simulation, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Political + Dystopian + Multiple Endings; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Witness 2016	Est. copies ≈ 887k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.8M–$26.2M after Steam's cut $17.7M–$40.3M before the cut	$39.99	21k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleExploration
The Talos Principle 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.0M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.1M before the cut	$29.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePhilosophical
There Is No Game: Wrong Dimension 2020	Est. copies ≈ 644k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before the cut	$12.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	IndieAdventure
Unheard - Voices of Crime 2019	Est. copies ≈ 976k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before the cut	$6.99	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectivePuzzle
Papers, Please 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.9M–$37.5M after Steam's cut $25.4M–$57.7M before the cut	$9.99	80k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	IndiePolitical
Unpacking 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.5M–$14.9M after Steam's cut $10.1M–$22.9M before the cut	$19.99	41k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingCute
Escape Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 479k–779k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before the cut	$19.99	19k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle Co-op
Cyber Manhunt 2021	Est. copies ≈ 389k–632k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before the cut	$9.99	16k reviews Very Positive	SimulationRPG