Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Casino Heist: Aruba sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$306–$826 after Steam's cut $557–$1k before the cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 5 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Casino Heist: Aruba out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Casino Heist: Aruba's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 391–2.3M
best case 55.9M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like Casino Heist: Aruba

The middle of these games

≈ 391–2.3M copies

≈ $883–$17.9M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.6M–69.2M copies, ≈ $117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 38k reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Heist (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before the cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before the cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.6M–69.2M
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut $212.8M–$484.2M before the cut
$9.99
674k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Casino Heist
2023
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$490–$1k after Steam's cut $891–$2k before the cut
$7.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Visual NovelHeist
Sol Dorado Heist
2021
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before the cut
$4.99
13 reviews
Mixed
SimulationHeist
Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.7M before the cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
The Warmth Between Us
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before the cut
$6.99
178 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelEmotional
Lift: The Last Days of The Westwind
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$179–$479 after Steam's cut $325–$737 before the cut
$12.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
VRChoose Your Own Adventure

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.