How much revenue did The Black Watchmen make?

$100k–$269k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Black Watchmen sell?

Q: How many copies did The Black Watchmen sell?

36k to 59k copies, based on its 745 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 36k–59k; $100k–$269k after Steam's cut $182k–$413k before the cut; from 745 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Black Watchmen out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Black Watchmen's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.4M

best case 2.2M (SUPERHOT)

Games like The Black Watchmen

The middle of these games

≈ 1.0M–1.4M copies

≈ $2.4M–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is First-Person (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: SUPERHOT at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $11.6M–$31.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on First-Person (3 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Bullet Time, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Action + FPS + Bullet Time; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SUPERHOT 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.6M–$31.3M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.1M before the cut	$24.99	41k reviews Very Positive	ActionFPS
Mountain 2014	Est. copies ≈ 912k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before the cut	$0.99	16k reviews Very Positive	SimulationIndie
Hacknet 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before the cut	$9.99	26k reviews Very Positive	HackingSimulation
House Party 2022	Est. copies ≈ 382k–621k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before the cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	NudityMature
The Witness 2016	Est. copies ≈ 887k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.8M–$26.2M after Steam's cut $17.7M–$40.3M before the cut	$39.99	21k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleExploration
The Beginner's Guide 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before the cut	$9.99	23k reviews Very Positive	Story Rich Walking Simulator
Pony Island 2016	Est. copies ≈ 752k–1.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut	$4.99	18k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleIndie
Cat Goes Fishing 2015	Est. copies ≈ 803k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before the cut	$6.99	16k reviews Very Positive	FishingCats