How much revenue did PataNoir make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did PataNoir sell?

Q: How many copies did PataNoir sell?

666 to 1k copies, based on its 16 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 666–1k; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before the cut; from 16 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left PataNoir out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including PataNoir's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–2.8M

best case 3.8M (Mirror 2: Project X)

Games like PataNoir

The middle of these games

≈ 1.2M–2.8M copies

≈ $1.3M–$7.7M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Story Rich (3 of 7), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Mirror 2: Project X at ≈ 2.9M–4.7M copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 165 to 23k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Story Rich (3 of 7) and Visual Novel (3 of 7).
The winners: Winners here lead with Match 3 + Anime, priced around $2.
The era: The games you compared span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
LoveChoice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 908k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $497k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $903k–$2.1M before the cut	$1.99	37k reviews Very Positive	RomanceDating Sim
To the Moon 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.3M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.0M before the cut	$9.99	86k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichGreat Soundtrack
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk 2020	Est. copies ≈ 850k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $348k–$936k after Steam's cut $633k–$1.4M before the cut	$1.49	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Psychological Horror
There Is No Game: Wrong Dimension 2020	Est. copies ≈ 644k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before the cut	$12.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	IndieAdventure
Sally Face - Episode One 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $959k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before the cut	$2.99	28k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story Rich Psychological Horror
Mirror 2: Project X 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before the cut	$1.99	116k reviews Mostly Negative	3DMatch 3
The Henry Stickmin Collection 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before the cut	$14.99	59k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FunnyMultiple Endings