How much revenue did Manifold Garden make?

$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Manifold Garden sell?

Q: How many copies did Manifold Garden sell?

211k to 343k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 211k–343k; $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before the cut; from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Manifold Garden out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Manifold Garden's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 224k–685k

best case 1.5M (The Beginner's Guide)

Games like Manifold Garden

The middle of these games

≈ 224k–685k copies

≈ $1.2M–$4.9M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Beginner's Guide at ≈ 1.1M–1.9M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 441 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Surreal (6 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $10.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Antichamber 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before the cut	$19.99	18k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleFirst-Person
Viewfinder 2023	Est. copies ≈ 322k–523k 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before the cut	$24.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
The Beginner's Guide 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before the cut	$9.99	23k reviews Very Positive	Story Rich Walking Simulator
NaissanceE 2014	Est. copies ≈ 247k–401k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationIndie
When The Past Was Around 2020	Est. copies ≈ 110k–178k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $241k–$647k after Steam's cut $438k–$996k before the cut	$7.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CuteHidden Object
Moncage 2021	Est. copies ≈ 138k–224k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $567k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleCasual
Papo & Yo 2013	Est. copies ≈ 182k–295k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $749k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before the cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	3D PlatformerPuzzle-Platformer
The Bridge 2013	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $756k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before the cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerHand-drawn