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How many copies did Reflection of Mine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before the cut
from 248 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Reflection of Mine out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Reflection of Mine's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 667–1k
best case 196k (BirdGut)
Games like Reflection of Mine

The middle of these games

≈ 667–1k copies

≈ $640–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~23 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: BirdGut at ≈ 150k–243k copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 14 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 7 to 172.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2D Platformer (6 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer, priced around $2. The breakout hits carry Indie + Free to Play + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BirdGut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 150k–243k
231x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayIndie
Diari
2024
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before the cut
$12.99
23 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventurePlatformer
Don't Byte Your Tongue
2023
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$408–$1k after Steam's cut $742–$2k before the cut
$2.99
20 reviews
Positive
Precision Platformer2D Platformer
Goat's Tale (Classic)
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–14k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before the cut
$1.99
336 reviews
Very Positive
Goat's Tale Adventure
2024
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$299–$803 after Steam's cut $543–$1k before the cut
$1.99
22 reviews
Mostly Positive
Seeking Light
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
52 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessAdventure
Fart King
2025
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$347–$932 after Steam's cut $631–$1k before the cut
$2.99
17 reviews
Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Who Takes The Crown?
2025
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before the cut
$7.99
38 reviews
Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.