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wishvane

How many copies did Mad Father sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 280k–455k
$769k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
from 7k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Mad Father out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mad Father's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 419k–701k
best case 2.9M (OMORI)
Games like Mad Father

The middle of these games

≈ 419k–701k copies

≈ $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.0M–$32.4M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on RPGMaker (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Story Rich + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OneShot
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.6M before the cut
$9.99
65k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Changed
2018
Est. copies
≈ 564k–917k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$774k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
$4.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
CuteDifficult
Tales of the Black Forest
2019
Est. copies
≈ 445k–724k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$489k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $889k–$2.0M before the cut
$3.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGRPGMaker
Impostor Factory
2021
Est. copies
≈ 319k–518k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$875k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional
LISA: The Painful
2014
Est. copies
≈ 849k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before the cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dark HumorRPG
OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.8M before the cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Material Girl
2017
Est. copies
≈ 304k–495k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Yume Nikki
2018
Est. copies
≈ 320k–521k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
IndieFree to Play

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