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How many copies did Nelo sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before the cut
from 148 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Nelo out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Nelo's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–4.4M
best case 7.9M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like Nelo

The middle of these games

≈ 12k–4.4M copies

≈ $69k–$50.4M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.0M–9.7M copies, ≈ $49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 197 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Fast-Paced (5 of 7) and Character Action Game (3 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vanquish
2017
Est. copies
≈ 274k–446k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.7M
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut $89.9M–$204.5M before the cut
$29.99
242k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Ghostrunner
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
8.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before the cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
ActionCyberpunk
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.0M–$110.3M after Steam's cut $74.6M–$169.8M before the cut
$29.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackHack and Slash
TERRORHYTHM (TRRT) - Rhythm driven action beat 'em up!
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$36k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before the cut
$19.99
81 reviews
Mostly Positive
Beat 'em upRhythm
Helheim
2019
Est. copies
≈ 778–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before the cut
$9.99
27 reviews
Mixed
IndieAction
REAVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$61k–$165k after Steam's cut $112k–$254k before the cut
$13.99
644 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessArena Shooter

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