Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did METAL GEAR SURVIVE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 173k–281k
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left METAL GEAR SURVIVE out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including METAL GEAR SURVIVE's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.8M–27.1M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like METAL GEAR SURVIVE

The middle of these games

≈ 9.8M–27.1M copies

≈ $77.9M–$174.4M after Steam's cut

from ~290k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
9.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Paladins®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10.5M–17.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
345k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
234k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.2M–28.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut $517.2M–$1176.7M before the cut
$59.99
415k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut $94.2M–$214.2M before the cut
$19.99
226k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$94.6M–$254.3M after Steam's cut $171.9M–$391.2M before the cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.9M–$64.1M after Steam's cut $43.4M–$98.7M before the cut
$19.99
126k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.