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wishvane

How many copies did Xmas Shooting - Scramble!! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before the cut
from 138 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Xmas Shooting - Scramble!! out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Xmas Shooting - Scramble!!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–50k
best case 361k (DEEP SPACE WAIFU)
Games like Xmas Shooting - Scramble!!

The middle of these games

≈ 6k–50k copies

≈ $13k–$100k after Steam's cut

from ~419 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: DEEP SPACE WAIFU at ≈ 275k–447k copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 85 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 12 to 1k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Project Beril / 贝丽尔养成计划
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before the cut
$9.99
85 reviews
Very Positive
IndieShoot 'Em Up
WITCH-BOT MEGLILO
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before the cut
$5.99
123 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
QP Shooting - Dangerous!!
2014
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$264k before the cut
$7.99
518 reviews
Very Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Mirage Feathers
2024
Est. copies
≈ 65k–105k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$89k–$239k after Steam's cut $162k–$368k before the cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeCute
Dimension Tripper Neptune: TOP NEP
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before the cut
$4.99
739 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade
DEEP SPACE WAIFU
2017
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
ETHER VAPOR Remaster
2012
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$44k–$119k after Steam's cut $81k–$183k before the cut
$7.99
319 reviews
Mostly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction
Hell Blasters
2021
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
$7.99
26 reviews
Positive
Bullet HellAnime

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