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How many copies did True or False 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before the cut
from 162 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left True or False 2 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including True or False 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–3.8M
best case 5.5M (Watch_Dogs® 2)
Games like True or False 2

The middle of these games

≈ 2.0M–3.8M copies

≈ $14.4M–$30.2M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Psychological Horror (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Watch_Dogs® 2 at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Psychological Horror (3 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Hacking, priced around $50.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2017. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

South Park™: The Fractured But Whole™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.5M–$25.5M after Steam's cut $17.3M–$39.3M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
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RPGComedy
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.5M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before the cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Source Filmmaker
2012
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
Free
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Animation & ModelingFree to Play
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before the cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
Wolfenstein II: The New Colossus
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.7M–$50.3M after Steam's cut $34.0M–$77.3M before the cut
$39.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Watch_Dogs® 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut
$49.99
101k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldHacking
Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.8M before the cut
$7.99
82k reviews
Very Positive
AdVenture Capitalist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
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