wishvane
How many copies did Derail Valley sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 265k–430k
$2.9M–$7.8M net $5.3M–$12.0M gross
from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Derail Valley out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Derail Valley's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 269k–1.3M
best case 8.0M (Factorio)
The Base-Building lane

A solid, mid-sized genre: most sell around 648k copies.

A typical game
≈ 648k copies
≈ $4.6M after Steam's cut
from ~16k reviews
Best case
≈ 8.0M copies
Factorio · ≈ $108.6M after Steam's cut
from 232k reviews

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Automation + Base-Building, priced around $35.
  • 4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2024
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.7M net $12.7M–$28.8M gross
$39.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation +6
2024
Est. copies
≈ 129k–209k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M net $2.2M–$5.1M gross
$34.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
TrainsSimulation +6
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.1M–9.9M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$58.9M–$158.3M net $107.0M–$243.5M gross
$35.00
232k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building +6
2026
Est. copies
≈ 354k–575k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M net $5.3M–$12.1M gross
$29.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ManagementStrategy +6
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.8M net $19.5M–$44.3M gross
$24.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxBase-Building +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M net $3.8M–$8.8M gross
$9.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyPuzzle +6
2025
Est. copies
≈ 231k–375k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M net $3.5M–$7.9M gross
$29.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open World Survival CraftCo-op +6
2021
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$607k–$1.6M net $1.1M–$2.5M gross
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AutomationBase-Building +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples