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How many copies did STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight II - Jedi Outcast™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 313k–508k
$859k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight II - Jedi Outcast™ out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight II - Jedi Outcast™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.6M–14.3M
best case 23.1M (Half-Life 2)
Games like STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight II - Jedi Outcast™

The middle of these games

≈ 6.6M–14.3M copies

≈ $51.9M–$90.2M after Steam's cut

from ~181k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Half-Life 2 at ≈ 17.6M–28.6M copies, ≈ $48.3M–$130.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Sci-fi (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Sci-fi, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 1998 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Halo: The Master Chief Collection
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$83.0M–$223.2M after Steam's cut $150.9M–$343.3M before the cut
$39.99
262k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackFPS
DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.6M–$136.0M after Steam's cut $92.0M–$209.3M before the cut
$19.99
221k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
Black Mesa
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.7M–$53.0M after Steam's cut $35.8M–$81.5M before the cut
$19.99
145k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRemake
Half-Life
1998
Est. copies
≈ 10.3M–16.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$28.4M–$76.4M after Steam's cut $51.6M–$117.5M before the cut
$9.99
164k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
Resident Evil 4 (2005)
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.1M–$81.0M after Steam's cut $54.8M–$124.7M before the cut
$19.99
98k reviews
Very Positive
Inventory ManagementSurvival Horror
Half-Life 2
2004
Est. copies
≈ 17.6M–28.6M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$48.3M–$130.0M after Steam's cut $87.9M–$200.0M before the cut
$9.99
278k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$27.4M–$73.7M after Steam's cut $49.8M–$113.3M before the cut
$59.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer

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