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How many copies did Nephise Begins sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 48k–78k
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Nephise Begins out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nephise Begins's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 658k–841k
best case 2.4M (What Remains of Edith Finch)
Games like Nephise Begins

The middle of these games

≈ 658k–841k copies

≈ $4.8M–$6.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: What Remains of Edith Finch at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Walking Simulator (7 of 8) and First-Person (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2017. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
The Vanishing of Ethan Carter
2014
Est. copies
≈ 503k–817k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before the cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryAtmospheric
Octodad: Dadliest Catch
2014
Est. copies
≈ 599k–974k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before the cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyPhysics
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs
2013
Est. copies
≈ 765k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.4M before the cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mixed
The Stanley Parable
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before the cut
$14.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyNarration
The Beginner's Guide
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before the cut
$9.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before the cut
$14.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Dr. Langeskov, The Tiger, and The Terribly Cursed Emerald: A Whirlwind Heist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 497k–807k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayComedy

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