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How many copies did Distrust: Polar Survival sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 88k–143k
$314k–$845k after Steam's cut $572k–$1.3M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Distrust: Polar Survival out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Distrust: Polar Survival's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 55k–155k
best case 642k (Unrailed!)
Games like Distrust: Polar Survival

The middle of these games

≈ 55k–155k copies

≈ $252k–$996k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Unrailed! at ≈ 489k–794k copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 716 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 181 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (3 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Trains, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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IsometricRogue-like
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9.8x vs typical
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