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wishvane

How many copies did Atomic Heart sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$21.0M–$56.3M after Steam's cut $38.1M–$86.7M before the cut
from 51k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Atomic Heart out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Atomic Heart's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–15.9M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Atomic Heart

The middle of these games

≈ 4.5M–15.9M copies

≈ $6.3M–$77.7M after Steam's cut

from ~139k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (4 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Buckshot Roulette
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.5M before the cut
$2.99
125k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerDark
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.8M–$112.3M after Steam's cut $76.0M–$172.8M before the cut
$39.99
153k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before the cut
$4.99
104k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
268k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival

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