Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Nowhere Prophet sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–55k
$232k–$623k after Steam's cut $421k–$958k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Nowhere Prophet out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nowhere Prophet's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 966k–5.2M
best case 8.2M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Nowhere Prophet

The middle of these games

≈ 966k–5.2M copies

≈ $6.5M–$37.3M after Steam's cut

from ~51k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.2M copies, ≈ $43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 6k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Deckbuilding (6 of 8) and Card Battler (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
The era
Only 1 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.2M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut $78.4M–$178.5M before the cut
$24.99
218k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.2M–$54.3M after Steam's cut $36.7M–$83.5M before the cut
$19.99
148k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
Griftlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 359k–583k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before the cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 569k–924k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before the cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 792k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before the cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Loop Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 905k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before the cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalRogue-like
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.2M–$54.4M after Steam's cut $36.8M–$83.7M before the cut
$14.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.