How much revenue did Heads Will Roll: Reforged make?

$288k–$774k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Heads Will Roll: Reforged sell?

Q: How many copies did Heads Will Roll: Reforged sell?

42k to 68k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 42k–68k; $288k–$774k after Steam's cut $523k–$1.2M before the cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Heads Will Roll: Reforged out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heads Will Roll: Reforged's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20k–503k

best case 2.4M (UNO)

Games like Heads Will Roll: Reforged

The middle of these games

≈ 20k–503k copies

≈ $182k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is War (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on War (3 of 8) and Choices Matter (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
The era: The games you compared span 2006 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Garfield Kart 2015	Est. copies ≈ 690k–1.1M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $947k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut	$4.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Ashes of the Singularity: Escalation 2016	Est. copies ≈ 207k–337k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before the cut	$29.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	RTSBase-Building
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
Chromosome Evil 2022	Est. copies ≈ 9k–14k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $36k–$98k after Steam's cut $66k–$151k before the cut	$14.99	356 reviews Very Positive	WarAtmospheric
DEFCON 2006	Est. copies ≈ 274k–445k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $902k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before the cut	$11.99	4k reviews Very Positive	TacticalPvP
Sector Six 2018	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $18k–$48k after Steam's cut $32k–$74k before the cut	$8.00	266 reviews Very Positive	Looter ShooterCharacter Customization
Broken Lines 2020	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $119k–$321k after Steam's cut $217k–$493k before the cut	$24.99	700 reviews Mostly Positive	WarSingleplayer
SKYHILL 2015	Est. copies ≈ 280k–456k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $770k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut	$9.99	6k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalAction Roguelike