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How many copies did Fell Seal: Arbiter's Mark sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 183k–297k
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fell Seal: Arbiter's Mark out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fell Seal: Arbiter's Mark's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 443k–492k
best case 1.3M (Battle Brothers)
Games like Fell Seal: Arbiter's Mark

The middle of these games

≈ 443k–492k copies

≈ $4.9M–$7.4M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Battle Brothers at ≈ 986k–1.6M copies, ≈ $8.1M–$21.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Turn-Based Strategy (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with CRPG + Character Customization, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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