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How many copies did Wasteland 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 554k–900k
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before the cut
from 22k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Wasteland 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wasteland 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 764k–3.2M
best case 27.8M (Baldur's Gate 3)
Games like Wasteland 3

The middle of these games

≈ 764k–3.2M copies

≈ $8.4M–$53.0M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.2M–34.4M copies, ≈ $349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 6k to 268k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Character Customization (6 of 8) and CRPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based Combat + Dungeons & Dragons + Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.2M–34.4M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut $635.1M–$1444.8M before the cut
$59.99
854k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
Tyranny
2016
Est. copies
≈ 554k–900k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.9M before the cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
RPGChoices Matter
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.6M after Steam's cut $29.5M–$67.0M before the cut
$49.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationCinematic
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.4M–$235.0M after Steam's cut $158.9M–$361.6M before the cut
$44.99
205k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
Pathfinder: Kingmaker — Enhanced Plus Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.3M before the cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGParty-Based RPG
Solasta: Crown of the Magister
2021
Est. copies
≈ 556k–903k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$19.0M before the cut
$29.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
RPGCo-op Campaign
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$111.1M after Steam's cut $75.1M–$170.9M before the cut
$39.99
130k reviews
Very Positive
Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire
2018
Est. copies
≈ 609k–989k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.8M before the cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
RPGParty-Based RPG

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