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How many copies did Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before the cut
from 136 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 433k–1.4M
best case 1.6M (Volcano Princess)
Games like Ciel Fledge: A Daughter Raising Simulator

The middle of these games

≈ 433k–1.4M copies

≈ $5.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Volcano Princess at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (7 of 8) and Life Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Life Sim + Multiple Endings, priced around $11.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
2.0x vs typical
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Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$24.99
15k reviews
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NudityMature
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VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.9x vs typical
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$14.99
39k reviews
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≈ 612k–994k
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$39.99
25k reviews
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小白兔电商~Bunny e-Shop
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≈ 254k–413k
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$10.99
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