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How big is Russian Fishing 4?

Estimated owners
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
from 90k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Russian Fishing 4 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Russian Fishing 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 906k–1.2M
best case 20.7M (Path of Exile)
Games like Russian Fishing 4

The middle of these games

≈ 906k–1.2M copies

≈ $2.6M–$9.8M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Path of Exile at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (3 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fishing + Simulation, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Massively Multiplayer + MMORPG; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2017. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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4.7x vs typical
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FishingFree to Play
Garfield Kart
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Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Path of Exile
2013
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≈ 15.8M–25.6M
15x vs typical
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Free to PlayDark Fantasy
PickCrafter
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MiningIdler
Black Desert
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.8M before the cut
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MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Feed and Grow: Fish
2016
Est. copies
≈ 899k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before the cut
$14.99
22k reviews
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SimulationUnderwater
Cat Goes Fishing
2015
Est. copies
≈ 803k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before the cut
$6.99
16k reviews
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FishingCats
Microsoft Flight Simulator X: Steam Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.4M after Steam's cut $18.5M–$42.1M before the cut
$24.99
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FlightSimulation

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