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wishvane

How many copies did Rainbow Reactor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before the cut
from 106 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rainbow Reactor out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rainbow Reactor's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 833k–9.1M
best case 9.1M (Forza Horizon 5)
Games like Rainbow Reactor

The middle of these games

≈ 833k–9.1M copies

≈ $21.6M–$126.5M after Steam's cut

from ~89k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Racing (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Forza Horizon 5 at ≈ 6.9M–11.3M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$307.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Racing (4 of 8) and VR (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wall Shooter
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before the cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
IndieVR
ARCADEON VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before the cut
$0.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$307.2M after Steam's cut $207.7M–$472.6M before the cut
$59.99
279k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.7M–15.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.4M–$143.6M after Steam's cut $97.1M–$220.9M before the cut
$19.99
173k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
F1® 22
2022
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Mixed
RacingImmersive Sim
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.3M–$38.5M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.3M before the cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
Quest for Runia
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before the cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Positive
SingleplayerVR
Project Wingman
2020
Est. copies
≈ 549k–893k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.2M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.6M before the cut
$24.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
FlightAction

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