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wishvane

How big is The Flood?

Estimated owners
≈ 38k–62k
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Flood out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Flood's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–312k
best case 1.5M (The Beginner's Guide)
Games like The Flood

The middle of these games

≈ 81k–312k copies

≈ $166k–$304k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Beginner's Guide at ≈ 1.1M–1.9M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Short (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Novelist
2013
Est. copies
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SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$90k–$242k after Steam's cut $164k–$372k before the cut
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Story RichChoices Matter
Indecision.
2018
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ExperienceExperimental
Thirty Flights of Loving
2012
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Dr. Langeskov, The Tiger, and The Terribly Cursed Emerald: A Whirlwind Heist
2015
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4.4x vs typical
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Free to PlayComedy
A Mortician's Tale
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CasualIndie
Dear Esther
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≈ 152k–247k
2.6x vs typical
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The Beginner's Guide
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before the cut
$9.99
23k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.