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How many copies did Penko Park sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–27k
$64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$263k before the cut
from 667 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Penko Park out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Penko Park's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 1.6M (My Singing Monsters)
Games like Penko Park

The middle of these games

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $3k–$6k after Steam's cut

from ~43 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Creature Collector (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: My Singing Monsters at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 31 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 2k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Creature Collector (4 of 8) and Collectathon (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Lovecraftian + Horror, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Casual + Indie + Lovecraftian; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
6 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.