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How many copies did Fallback sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$131k before the cut
from 400 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fallback out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallback's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 48k–291k
best case 713k (Spelunky 2)
Games like Fallback

The middle of these games

≈ 48k–291k copies

≈ $165k–$727k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Spelunky 2 at ≈ 543k–883k copies, ≈ $3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 952 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 301 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2D Platformer (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + 2D Platformer, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Downwell
2015
Est. copies
≈ 420k–683k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$346k–$929k after Steam's cut $628k–$1.4M before the cut
$2.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerAction Roguelike
30XX
2023
Est. copies
≈ 70k–113k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$383k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $696k–$1.6M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Spelunky 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 543k–883k
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.4M before the cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Platformer2D Platformer
Tallowmere
2015
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before the cut
$3.99
855 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction Roguelike
Dunjungle
2025
Est. copies
≈ 19k–30k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$76k–$206k after Steam's cut $139k–$316k before the cut
$14.99
748 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Bing in Wonderland
2023
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$132k–$356k after Steam's cut $241k–$548k before the cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Casual2D Platformer
Caveblazers
2017
Est. copies
≈ 156k–253k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$428k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $779k–$1.8M before the cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
Orbital Bullet – The 360° Rogue-lite
2022
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$94k–$252k after Steam's cut $171k–$388k before the cut
$16.99
810 reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerPixel Graphics

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