How much revenue did Mystic Vale make?

$48k–$129k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mystic Vale sell?

Q: How many copies did Mystic Vale sell?

13k to 22k copies, based on its 467 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 13k–22k; $48k–$129k after Steam's cut $87k–$199k before the cut; from 467 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Mystic Vale out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mystic Vale's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–5.2M

best case 8.2M (Slay the Spire)

Games like Mystic Vale

The middle of these games

≈ 1.6M–5.2M copies

≈ $16.8M–$37.3M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.2M copies, ≈ $43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 8k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Card Game (5 of 8) and Deckbuilding (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
The era: Only 1 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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