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How many copies did Vellum sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 36k–58k
$197k–$529k after Steam's cut $358k–$814k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Vellum out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vellum's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–25k
best case 78k (What the Fog)
Games like Vellum

The middle of these games

≈ 1k–25k copies

≈ $9k–$105k after Steam's cut

from ~207 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: What the Fog at ≈ 59k–96k copies, ≈ $81k–$218k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 83 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 6 to 1k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-lite + Co-op, priced around $5.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fictorum
2017
Est. copies
≈ 40k–65k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$454k before the cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeMagic
What the Fog
2024
Est. copies
≈ 59k–96k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$81k–$218k after Steam's cut $148k–$336k before the cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Rogue-liteCartoony
Black Gunner Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before the cut
$9.99
482 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
Holomento
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$66k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before the cut
$19.99
180 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
They Are Hundreds: Prepped
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11 reviews
Positive
ActionCasual
豆丁人 DOUDINGMAN
2023
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$925–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$3.99
34 reviews
Positive
Rogue-liteThird-Person Shooter
Psionic Sentry : Infinite
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before the cut
$4.99
234 reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistAnime
Alone in the Stars: Survivor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
$6.99
36 reviews
Positive
Action RoguelikeThird-Person Shooter

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