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How many copies did Axe Throw VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 517–840
$851–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
from 17 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Axe Throw VR out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Axe Throw VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 529–3k
best case 25k (Blacktop Hoops)
Games like Axe Throw VR

The middle of these games

≈ 529–3k copies

≈ $2k–$20k after Steam's cut

from ~34 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Blacktop Hoops at ≈ 19k–31k copies, ≈ $155k–$417k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 10 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 685.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Physics (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports + Basketball, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rezzil Index / Lite
2021
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32 reviews
Positive
SportsVR
Black Hole Pool VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $31k–$70k before the cut
$19.99
124 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationPool
Mini Golf Worlds VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before the cut
$4.99
14 reviews
Positive
SportsMini Golf
Fist of Physics
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before the cut
$9.99
40 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationBoxing
VR Async Balls
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before the cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
SimulationSports
Off The Chains Disc Golf
2020
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before the cut
$14.99
36 reviews
Mixed
SportsVR
Blacktop Hoops
2024
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$155k–$417k after Steam's cut $282k–$641k before the cut
$29.99
758 reviews
Very Positive
SportsBasketball
JUST HOOPS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
$9.99
17 reviews
Positive
SportsVR

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