How much revenue did Kerbal Space Program 2 make?

$10.9M–$29.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kerbal Space Program 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Kerbal Space Program 2 sell?

793k to 1.3M copies, based on its 32k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 793k–1.3M; $10.9M–$29.3M after Steam's cut $19.8M–$45.1M before the cut; from 32k reviews (Mostly Negative)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Kerbal Space Program 2 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kerbal Space Program 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.9M–9.7M

best case 22.6M (No Man's Sky)

Games like Kerbal Space Program 2

The middle of these games

≈ 5.9M–9.7M copies

≈ $50.9M–$160.7M after Steam's cut

from ~141k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.2M–28.0M copies, ≈ $284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Space (7 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
The era: The games you compared span 2008 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Elite Dangerous 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.2M–8.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.8M–$77.4M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.1M before the cut	$19.99	107k reviews Mostly Positive	Space SimSpace
Starbound 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.1M–$56.8M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.4M before the cut	$14.99	123k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Stellaris 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $112.6M–$302.8M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.8M before the cut	$49.99	197k reviews Very Positive	SpaceGrand Strategy
ASTRONEER 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $33.0M–$88.8M after Steam's cut $60.1M–$136.6M before the cut	$29.99	139k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerOpen World
SPORE™ 2008	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.2M–$67.8M after Steam's cut $45.8M–$104.3M before the cut	$19.99	73k reviews Very Positive	God GameOpen World
Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $78.6M–$211.3M after Steam's cut $142.9M–$325.1M before the cut	$39.99	146k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.2M–28.0M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut $517.2M–$1176.7M before the cut	$59.99	415k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Oxygen Not Included 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.4M–$76.4M after Steam's cut $51.7M–$117.5M before the cut	$24.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building