How much revenue did Later Alligator make?

$437k–$1.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Later Alligator sell?

Q: How many copies did Later Alligator sell?

88k to 144k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 88k–144k; $437k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $795k–$1.8M before the cut; from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Later Alligator out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Later Alligator's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–4.5M

best case 11.3M (Life is Strange - Episode 1)

Games like Later Alligator

The middle of these games

≈ 3.3M–4.5M copies

≈ $27.7M–$37.7M after Steam's cut

from ~96k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Life is Strange - Episode 1 at ≈ 8.6M–13.9M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4k to 55k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Story Rich (4 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Survival Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Core Keeper 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut	$19.99	66k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsOpen World Survival Craft
Poppy Playtime 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	142k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFree to Play
Life is Strange - Episode 1 2015	Est. copies ≈ 8.6M–13.9M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	176k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichChoices Matter