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How many copies did Notes of Soul sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 481k–782k
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before the cut
from 17k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Notes of Soul out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Notes of Soul's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.5M
best case 15.3M (Fall Guys)
Games like Notes of Soul

The middle of these games

≈ 2.5M–3.5M copies

≈ $21.0M–$34.6M after Steam's cut

from ~83k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Battle Royale (2 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 26k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 18k to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Battle Royale (2 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Co-op, priced around $14.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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