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How many copies did Thief Simulator VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 36k–59k
$200k–$538k after Steam's cut $364k–$828k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Thief Simulator VR out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thief Simulator VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 34.4M–68.0M
best case 104.7M (Garry's Mod)
Games like Thief Simulator VR

The middle of these games

≈ 34.4M–68.0M copies

≈ $276.7M–$393.2M after Steam's cut

from ~727k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 79.8M–129.6M copies, ≈ $219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (4 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Moddable, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 14.2M–23.1M
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Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 79.8M–129.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut $398.4M–$906.5M before the cut
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SandboxModdable
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2012
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≈ 59.4M–96.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$326.7M–$878.4M after Steam's cut $594.0M–$1351.4M before the cut
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DrivingTransportation
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SurvivalZombies
Project Zomboid
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≈ 30.2M–49.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$207.3M–$557.3M after Steam's cut $376.9M–$857.4M before the cut
$24.99
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SurvivalZombies

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.