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How many copies did The Red Lantern sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 55k–90k
$381k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $693k–$1.6M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Red Lantern out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Red Lantern's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 559k–786k
best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)
Games like The Red Lantern

The middle of these games

≈ 559k–786k copies

≈ $4.1M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 723 to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (5 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + RPG + Management; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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First-PersonColorful
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2DChoose Your Own Adventure
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鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
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Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Early AccessAutomobile Sim
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8.0x vs typical
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RPGMMORPG

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