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How many copies did Spin Rhythm XD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 105k–171k
$578k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Spin Rhythm XD out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spin Rhythm XD's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 810k–2.1M
best case 4.6M (Muse Dash)
Games like Spin Rhythm XD

The middle of these games

≈ 810k–2.1M copies

≈ $6.3M–$10.8M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Muse Dash at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3k to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $3.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Quaver
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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A Dance of Fire and Ice
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before the cut
$5.99
83k reviews
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RhythmMusic
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+
2022
Est. copies
≈ 585k–950k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.2M before the cut
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24k reviews
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RhythmAnime
DJMAX RESPECT V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 863k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut
$49.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut
$2.99
122k reviews
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MusicRhythm
Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before the cut
$14.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist
Just Shapes & Beats
2018
Est. copies
≈ 790k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.0M before the cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmGreat Soundtrack
Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY
2024
Est. copies
≈ 628k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before the cut
$9.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
MusicEducation

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