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How many copies did Waltz of the Wizard sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–45k
$152k–$409k after Steam's cut $276k–$629k before the cut
from 960 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Waltz of the Wizard out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Waltz of the Wizard's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 931–40k
best case 2.0M (Blade and Sorcery)
Games like Waltz of the Wizard

The middle of these games

≈ 931–40k copies

≈ $9k–$839k after Steam's cut

from ~151 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Blade and Sorcery at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 76 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 9 to 49k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on VR (8 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Swordplay, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$44k–$119k after Steam's cut $80k–$182k before the cut
$19.99
264 reviews
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VRAction
Beast Pets
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CasualSimulation
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Early AccessSimulation
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≈ 1.5M–2.5M
412x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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VRSwordplay
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