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How many copies did Alpha Lyrae Discovery sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 518–842
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
from 18 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Alpha Lyrae Discovery out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alpha Lyrae Discovery's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 751k–1.5M
best case 1.9M (They Are Billions)
Games like Alpha Lyrae Discovery

The middle of these games

≈ 751k–1.5M copies

≈ $3.4M–$10.1M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: They Are Billions at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $12.2M–$32.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Building (6 of 8) and Colony Sim (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Base-Building + Colony Sim, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Kingdoms and Castles
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before the cut
$19.99
31k reviews
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Stronghold HD (2012)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 659k–1.1M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
$5.99
10k reviews
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Real Time TacticsCity Builder
They Are Billions
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.8M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.5M before the cut
$29.99
51k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingColony Sim
Craft The World
2014
Est. copies
≈ 955k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before the cut
$18.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfColony Sim
Stronghold Crusader HD (2012)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.1M before the cut
$9.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MilitaryCity Builder
Diplomacy is Not an Option
2024
Est. copies
≈ 312k–507k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.6M before the cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Real-Time with PauseResource Management
Stronghold: Definitive Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 256k–416k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before the cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
City BuilderStrategy

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.