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How many copies did Death and Progress sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 720–1k
$592–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before the cut
from 25 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Death and Progress out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Death and Progress's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 141k–251k
best case 3.5M (OneShot)
Games like Death and Progress

The middle of these games

≈ 141k–251k copies

≈ $643k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: OneShot at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 737 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 528 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $11. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Story Rich + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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