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wishvane

How many copies did Kingdom Shell sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$34k–$93k after Steam's cut $63k–$143k before the cut
from 281 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Kingdom Shell out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kingdom Shell's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.3M–6.9M
best case 25.3M (Hollow Knight)
Games like Kingdom Shell

The middle of these games

≈ 4.3M–6.9M copies

≈ $33.7M–$63.1M after Steam's cut

from ~146k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.2M–31.3M copies, ≈ $79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (5 of 8) and Metroidvania (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry 2D + Difficult + Metroidvania; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Katana ZERO
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.2M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut
$14.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.2M–$81.3M after Steam's cut $55.0M–$125.1M before the cut
$19.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionStealth
GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut
$14.99
96k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric
Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.2M–$102.8M after Steam's cut $69.5M–$158.2M before the cut
$24.99
183k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut $100.7M–$229.2M before the cut
$39.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.2M–31.3M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut $144.2M–$328.1M before the cut
$14.99
559k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.3M after Steam's cut $54.3M–$123.5M before the cut
$29.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.