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How many copies did Roadwarden sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 128k–207k
$386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $701k–$1.6M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Roadwarden out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Roadwarden's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 202k–363k
best case 689k (Murders on the Yangtze River)
Games like Roadwarden

The middle of these games

≈ 202k–363k copies

≈ $862k–$2.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Murders on the Yangtze River at ≈ 525k–853k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 856 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 462 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Puzzle, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Detective + Puzzle + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.8x vs typical
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IndieSimulation
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RPGDice
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