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How many copies did Smile To Fly sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 288–468
$237–$637 after Steam's cut $431–$980 before the cut
from 10 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Smile To Fly out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Smile To Fly's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.7M–7.5M
best case 10.8M (Stellaris)
Games like Smile To Fly

The middle of these games

≈ 4.7M–7.5M copies

≈ $27.0M–$76.1M after Steam's cut

from ~99k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Stellaris at ≈ 8.2M–13.3M copies, ≈ $112.6M–$302.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Space (8 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Space + Grand Strategy, priced around $50.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.8M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.8M before the cut
$49.99
197k reviews
Very Positive
Dyson Sphere Program
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.7M–$51.6M before the cut
$19.99
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationSpace
FTL: Faster Than Light
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before the cut
$9.99
79k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSpace
Elite Dangerous
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.2M–8.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.8M–$77.4M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.1M before the cut
$19.99
107k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSpace
Kerbal Space Program
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$78.6M–$211.3M after Steam's cut $142.9M–$325.1M before the cut
$39.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SpaceSimulation
STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.2M after Steam's cut $27.2M–$61.9M before the cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Space Engineers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.3M–$57.2M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.0M before the cut
$19.99
134k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSandbox
SPORE™
2008
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.2M–$67.8M after Steam's cut $45.8M–$104.3M before the cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
God GameOpen World

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