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How many copies did Null & Peta -Invasion of the Queen Bug- sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before the cut
from 112 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Null & Peta -Invasion of the Queen Bug- out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Null & Peta -Invasion of the Queen Bug-'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.0M–10.3M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Null & Peta -Invasion of the Queen Bug-

The middle of these games

≈ 6.0M–10.3M copies

≈ $49.9M–$94.4M after Steam's cut

from ~155k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is First-Person (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (3 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Mature + Utilities + Software; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.1M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.9M before the cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.4M–10.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$70.7M–$190.0M after Steam's cut $128.5M–$292.3M before the cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before the cut
$13.99
394k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.6M–$136.0M after Steam's cut $92.0M–$209.3M before the cut
$19.99
221k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
Slime Rancher
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.6M–$79.7M after Steam's cut $53.9M–$122.6M before the cut
$19.99
157k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CuteExploration

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