How much revenue did Ashina: The Red Witch make?

$16k–$42k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ashina: The Red Witch sell?

Q: How many copies did Ashina: The Red Witch sell?

6k to 9k copies, based on its 228 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–9k; $16k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before the cut; from 228 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ashina: The Red Witch out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ashina: The Red Witch's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.7M–6.2M

best case 12.0M (People Playground)

Games like Ashina: The Red Witch

The middle of these games

≈ 3.7M–6.2M copies

≈ $16.0M–$42.8M after Steam's cut

from ~93k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Management (2 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.1M–14.9M copies, ≈ $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Management (2 of 8) and Platformer (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sandbox + Gore, priced around $10.
The era: The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Cookie Clicker 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.1M before the cut	$4.99	93k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ClickerIdler
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.0M–$91.0M before the cut	$19.99	161k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Broforce 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.7M before the cut	$14.99	61k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AmericaAction
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.1M–14.9M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.7M–$103.9M before the cut	$9.99	317k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut	$19.99	146k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Trove 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	93k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayOpen World
To the Moon 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.3M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.0M before the cut	$9.99	86k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichGreat Soundtrack