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How many copies did SIGNALIS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 847k–1.4M
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before the cut
from 34k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left SIGNALIS out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SIGNALIS's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–4.7M
best case 5.3M (Little Nightmares)
Games like SIGNALIS

The middle of these games

≈ 1.9M–4.7M copies

≈ $8.0M–$31.5M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Horror (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Little Nightmares at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (3 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before the cut
$4.99
104k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Prey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before the cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Very Positive
Sci-fiImmersive Sim
100% Orange Juice
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before the cut
$6.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeBoard Game
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.1M before the cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 568k–922k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before the cut
$29.99
23k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationCrime
NEKOPARA Vol. 0
2015
Est. copies
≈ 868k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$714k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut
$2.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeNudity
Alien: Isolation
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.0M–$110.1M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.4M before the cut
$39.99
66k reviews
Very Positive

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